In this African birth cohort study, lung function trajectories were tracked from birth to 6 years using intra-breath oscillometry to quantify end-expiratory impedance components. Six measurement points (6 weeks to 6 years) enabled joint modelling of end-expiratory resistance and reactance, yielding five distinct respiratory-system-impedance trajectories: normal (70.2%), persistent low (2.4%), early normal with decline (8.4%), early low with catch-up (5.8%), and decline with recovery (13.1%).
Overall, 11% (90/830) exhibited low trajectories (persistent low or early normal with decline) through age 6. Early-life factors associated with adverse trajectories included respiratory syncytial virus lower respiratory tract infection, prematurity, and postnatal maternal psychological distress.
Conversely, about 19% (157) demonstrated catch-up to normal function by age 6, via early low with catch-up or decline and recovery trajectories. At 6 years, spirometric indices varied by trajectory, with the normal group showing the highest FEV1 and FVC, and the persistent low group the lowest.
The study notes uncertainty remains regarding the full causal impact of modifiable factors and the extent to which these trajectories reflect true lung development versus measurement or population-specific effects.