This retrospective cohort study examined whether maternal serum progesterone (PRG) and body mass index (BMI) measured in the peri-transfer period are associated with neonatal sex after single blastocyst frozen–thawed embryo transfer (FET) under a freeze-all strategy. The analysis included 998 cycles performed from 2019 to 2023.
Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses identified candidate thresholds: PRG ≤ 21.11 ng/mL and BMI ≤ 21.30 kg/m² as predictive for male birth. In multivariable logistic regression models adjusted for potential confounders, low PRG was associated with higher odds of a male offspring (odds ratio [OR] 1.61; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.09–2.36; P = 0.016).
Low BMI was also linked with increased odds of male birth (OR 2.33; 95% CI 1.61–3.40; P value not provided in excerpt). The authors report that maternal PRG levels and BMI together correlate with neonatal sex ratios after FET, suggesting endocrine and metabolic environments may influence embryo–endometrium interactions in a sex-specific manner.
The study acknowledges that causality cannot be established and presents hypothesis-generating findings; uncertainty remains regarding underlying mechanisms and generalizability.