PNASPublic Health
Global and regional climate modes modulate armed conflict risk
Summary
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Volume 123, Issue 20, May 2026. SignificanceClimate variability can alter the risk of armed conflict. Leveraging empirical modeling on a dataset of armed conflicts and the natural experiments provided by the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), we offer ...
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Volume 123, Issue 20, May 2026. SignificanceClimate variability can alter the risk of armed conflict. Leveraging empirical modeling on a dataset of armed conflicts and the natural experiments provided by the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), we offer ...